Christianity Is Showing Signs of Revival - Barna
Research's Annual Survey On the State of American Faith
Oxnard, CA -- Just one year ago, it appeared that the
Christian Church in America was on the way out: out of people's minds,
out of their hearts, out of their schedules, out of their
future. But the latest in the annual series of religion tracking
studies by the Barna Research Group, of Oxnard, California, shows
that the multi-year decline of Christianity appears to have bottomed
out and the Christian faith is now experiencing a renaissance
of sorts.
The latest figures, based on a representative
nationwide survey of 1007 adults, have been published in The Barna
Report, a bi-monthly newsletter from George Barna, the researcher of
religious trends and president of the company which conducts the
oft-cited survey. The newly-published issue indicates that there
have been significant increases in church attendance, Sunday school
attendance and born again Christians. There has been
no change in Bible reading, small group participation, church
volunteerism,
and evangelicals.
Heaven Bound
Barna's 1994 survey showed that 36% of adults were "born
again"; the figure increased slightly, to 39%, in 1995. 1 That
change was within the range of sampling error, meaning that it may have
been a real shift in people's spiritual commitments or it may have
simply been due to imprecision in the measurement process (i.e. because
of using of a population sample rather than a
census). The figure remained unchanged in 1996, at 39%.
However, the 1997 study shows the proportion of born again adults has
increased to 43%. That four point lift is greater than the
margin of sampling error, and represents a rise of seven percentage
points since 1994.
This increase is largely due to the rapid expansion of
born again Christians within the Catholic church. In 1995, only
one-fifth of all Catholic adults (22%) were born again. Today,
almost one-third (31%) are born again -- a 41% increase in two
years! To place that growth in context, during that same period
of time there has been a small decline in the proportion
of adults who attend mainline Protestant churches who are born again
(dropping from 46% down to 44%). The largest segment of the
Protestant domain, Baptists, has experienced a seven percentage point
rise, from 64% to 71%, representing 11% growth in the past
two years.
The surge of faith in the Catholic church can be described
from yet another angle, one which underscores its significance.
Today, Catholics constitute 16% of the adult born again
population. That's one out of every six born again
Christians. Denominationally, Catholics are the second most
prolific segment
of born again believers, trailing only those associated with Baptist
churches (31%), and surpassing the proportion associated with any
of the other large Protestant groups - i.e. the Church of Christ
(3%), Episcopal (1%), Lutheran (5%), Methodist (9%), and Presbyterian
(5%) churches - by at least a three-to-one margin.
Also worthy of note is the fact that in spite of a
resurgence of interest in religion among men, the born again Christian
increase is due mostly to women turning to Christ. In these past
two years, the proportion of men who are believers has risen slightly,
from 36% to 39%. (That small increase is not statistically
significant.) The proportion of females who have accepted Jesus
as their savior has grown from 42% to 48%. Thus, women still
represent the majority of believers (56% of all born again adults).
Church Attendance
In 1996, average weekly church attendance reached its
lowest point in the past 15 years. However, the escalation of
interest in religion and spirituality has brought about a significant
influx of adults back to the church. These gains have been
steadily increasing since last January, when just 37% of adults were
attending religious services during a typical week. Since that time
attendance has consistently grown, reaching 43% in January
of this year. That figure reflects a return to the attendance
levels of 1994 and 1995.
The increase is partly attributed to male Baby
Boomers. While people in their twenties and those fifty or older
show
little change in attendance habits from their 1996 levels, there has
been a return to the fold among many men in their thirties and
forties. Another factor in the increase is the many inactive born
again Christians who have recently been reactivated.
Also, there has been a substantial decline in attendance
among Seniors (i.e . those now 70 or older) in the last few years,
surpassing the natural decline that would be expected as people reach
their eighth decade or beyond . Even more significant numerically is
the low attendance rate among Baby Busters. This emerging adult
segment, most of whom are now in their twenties , constitutes the
second largest generation in America's history -- and one of
its most church resistant. Currently, only one out of every
three Busters attends a church service in a typical week. There
has been no change in their attendance rates during this decade.
Barna noted that his research provides no reason to expect an increase
of significant proportions among this group in the years immediately
ahead.
Other Findings
Other findings published in March-April issue of The Barna
Report included:
Sunday School. Attendance in adult
Sunday schools has grown significantly for the first time this
decade.
After reaching a low point in 1996, attendance has risen to 23%,
up from 17% the prior January.
Personal Evangelism. Participation in
personal evangelism has increased. Currently, nearly six out of
ten Christians claim that they have shared their faith with a
non-Christian
during the past year. 2
Unchurched Adults. The proportion of
unchurched adults has remained stable. Currently 27% of all adults
indicate they have not attended a Christian church service, other than
a holiday service or special event, during the past six months.
One-fifth of the unchurched are born again Christians.
Evangelicals. While the proportion
of adults who are defined as evangelicals has remained unchanged, the
spiritual commitment of this group remains strong. 3 Even when compared
to born again Christians, the evangelicals are substantially more
likely to attend church, read the Bible, attend Sunday school,
participate in a small group, volunteer at a church, and donate money
to the church. Evangelicals are a tiny segment within the adult
population -- only 7% -- but form a firm foundation within the Church.
Volunteerism. In spite of the
pressure of frantic schedules and the desire to earn money to sustain a
comfortable lifestyle, the proportion of adults who volunteer their
free time to participate in the life of a church has remained stable
for the past several years. Currently, about one-fourth of all
adults are actively involved in the church's efforts during
a typical week. Women remain the foundation of the church's
volunteer corps.
Small group ministries. The
proportion of adults currently involved in a small group or cell group
ministry has remained unchanged for the third year in a row. Barna
pointed out that this is especially noteworthy because so many
thousands of Christian churches have changed their ministry structures
and programs to emphasize the development of both community and
discipleship
primarily through small groups. According to Barna, this lack
of growth in small group attendance may presage a period in which
millions of people's faith will fail to achieve the depth which many
churches intend to provide through the small group setting,
and a time when gains in church attendance might not be sustained
unless there are significant personal relationships developed between
the newcomers and others in the church -- relationships which many
churches rely upon small groups to foster.
Bible Reading. The proportion of
adults who read the Bible in a typical week, outside of church
services, has remained unchanged in the past year, languishing near its
historic low level of just one out of every three adults. Only
half of the born again segment reads from the Scriptures during a
typical week. Bible reading is most common among Seniors
(57%), least common among Busters (27%).
In summary, Barna offered an upbeat analysis of the new
results. "Overall, these data provide the first rays of hope the
Christian Church in America has seen in several years, " Barna
stated.
"It is too early to say that spiritual revival has gripped the
nation. However, there is an undeniable interest in spirituality
among tens of millions of Americans, and much of that
interest is being pursued through church-related activities.
Realize, too, that these figures raise hope for the moral and emotional
restoration of American society. Historically, societies firmly
rooted in, and committed to, positive spiritual convictions are
comparatively more compassionate and productive. If this
spiritual reawakening of our nation continues, America's culture
could be revolutionized, as evidenced by effects such as decreases
in violence, emotionally healthy families, a superior work ethic
and a more community-minded society."
These data are based on a representative, nationwide
survey of adults conducted by the Barna Research Group, of Oxnard, CA,
in January, 1997. The margin of sampling error is +3 percentage
points, at the 95% confidence interval. The survey was conducted
by telephone, using a random-digit dial sample. The survey is
conducted annually by Barna Research, which independently develops,
conducts and funds the survey. Barna releases these data in
various publications, such as The Barna Report and one of his most
recent books, The Index of Leading Spiritual Indicators. For
further information, contact George Barna, at 805-658-8885.
Footnotes: 1. In Barna Research surveys a "born again
Christian" is someone who says they have "made a personal commitment to
Jesus Christ that is still important in [their] life today" and that
they believe that after they die they will "go to Heaven because [they]
have confessed [their] sins and have accepted Jesus
Christ as [their] savior." Respondents are not asked if they
consider themselves to be a "born again Christian."
2. Individuals described as "not Christian" are identified
as such because they do not fit the "born again" criteria, described
above. Most of these individuals describe themselves as
Christian, even though they do not rely upon Christ for their
salvation.
3. In Barna Research surveys an individual is categorized
as an "evangelical" based on their answers to nine questions regarding
matters of faith. Evangelicals, according to this approach, meet the
criteria for being born again, as described above; say their
faith is very important in their life today; believe they have a
personal responsibility to share their religious beliefs about Christ
with non-Christians; believe that Satan exists; believe that eternal
salvation is possible only through grace, not works; believe that Jesus
Christ lived a sinless life on earth; and describe God as the
all-knowing, all-powerful, perfect deity who created the universe and
still rules it today. Thus, evangelicals are a
subset of the born again Christian population. Notice that
being categorized as an evangelical is not dependent upon church
attendance, church membership or denominational affiliation.
Changes in American Faith During the Nineties (%
who participated in a typical week)
Percentage of adults involved activity
| |
1991 |
1992 |
1994 |
1996 |
1997 |
| church attendance |
49% |
47% |
42% |
37% |
43% |
|
Bible reading
|
45% |
47% |
37% |
34% |
36% |
|
church volunteer
|
27% |
24% |
25% |
21% |
24% |
| adult Sunday school |
23% |
22% |
21% |
17% |
23% |
|
small group
|
24% |
25% |
12% |
17% |
18% |
| born again Christians |
35% |
40% |
36% |
39% |
43% |
|
evangelicals
|
7% |
12% |
7% |
9% |
7% |
|
sample size
|
1003 |
1009 |
1210 |
1004 |
1007 |